Kaspersky Global Research and Analysis Team (GReAT) experts have released their predictions for the year 2024 in the Kaspersky Security Bulletin, focusing on the evolution of Advanced Persistent Threats (APT).
The experts anticipate that APT actors will introduce new exploits on mobile, wearables, and smart devices, using them to form botnets, refine supply chain attack methods, and utilize AI for more effective spear-phishing.
These advancements are expected to intensify politically motivated attacks and cybercrime.
One of the key predictions is the use of AI-powered impersonation to streamline spear-phishing message production, enabling attackers to mimic specific individuals.
Additionally, there is expected to be a rise in creative exploits for mobile devices and the emergence of new botnets targeting vulnerabilities in commonly used software and appliances.
The researchers also predict a surge in state-sponsored cyberattacks amid increasing geopolitical tensions, threatening data theft or encryption, IT infrastructure destruction, long-term espionage, and cyber-sabotage.
Hacktivism is also expected to become more common as part of geopolitical conflicts, leading to an increase in destructive and false information spreading activities.
Other advanced threat predictions for 2024 include the emergence of more groups offering hack-for-hire services, a resurgence in kernel rootkits, and the use of Managed File Transfer (MFT) systems for advanced attacks.
Igor Kuznetsov, Director of the Global Research and Analysis Team (GReAT) at Kaspersky, emphasized the importance of providing defenders with advanced threat intelligence to stay ahead of the latest developments and enhance their capacity to fend off cyberattacks more effectively.
The APT predictions have been developed using Kaspersky’s threat intelligence services used around the world. The full report can be found on Securelist.